1) Kev hloov pauv loj tshaj plaws tom qab Lub Caij Nplooj Hlav Caij Nplooj Hlav: Kev ntsuas siab tau pib kho
Thawj lub lim tiam tom qab lub caij nplooj ntoos hlav Festival, cov nqi yav tom ntej tau nce thiab poob, nrog rau 03 daim ntawv cog lus hlau silicon poob ze li ntawm 800 yuan / tuj thiab manganese silicon poob ze li ntawm 460 yuan / tuj. Nyob rau hauv tag nrho cov txheej txheem poob, peb tsis tau pom ib qho tseem ceeb tsis muaj zog ntawm qhov chaw nqi, ex-factory nqi ntawm ferrosilicon poob 50-150 yuan/ton, silicon manganese Hoobkas yeej tsis hloov. Qhov sib txawv ntawm tus nqi tam sim no hloov pauv tau tshwm sim nyob rau hauv theem pib ntawm hlau silicon 03 daim ntawv cog lus luv nqi txog 100 yuan / tuj, silicon manganese 03 daim ntawv cog lus luv nqi ntawm txog 150 yuan / tuj. Lub hauv paus tau kho kom pom tseeb, qhov kev cia siab ntawm kev cia siab ua ntej lub koob tsheej tau hloov kho tom qab lub koob tsheej, thiab qhov teeb meem ntawm tus nqi siab tau pom tseeb txo qis.
Yog li ntawd, nws yog qhov nyuaj dua thiab qhov chaw tsawg dua rau cov nqi yav tom ntej kom poob mus ntxiv rau hauv txoj kev sib kis hauv paus. Txawm hais tias tus nqi tuaj yeem poob mus ntxiv rau yav tom ntej nyob ntawm seb qhov tam sim no tuaj yeem poob ua ke, uas yog, seb cov nyiaj tau los ntawm cov khoom lag luam tuaj yeem raug compressed. Los ntawm qhov pom ntawm qhov chaw tam sim no cov txiaj ntsig ntawm cov cheeb tsam tseem ceeb: cov txiaj ntsig ntawm ferrosilicon yog qhov zoo. Tom qab sawv ntawm tus nqi sib hais, cov nyiaj tau los ntawm Ningxia lub ntsiab ntau lawm yog li 500 yuan / tuj; Cov txiaj ntsig ntawm silicon manganese yog nruab nrab, thiab cov txiaj ntsig ntawm Ningxia thiab Inner Mongolia thiab lwm qhov chaw tsim khoom tseem ceeb yog kwv yees li 200 yuan / tuj. Los ntawm qhov tseeb ntawm cov nyiaj tau los, cov nyiaj tau los tseem muaj chaw rau compression, thiab silicon manganese txwv.
2) Cov khoom lag luam nce siab tsis tau nce ntau npaum li qhov xav tau
Cov ntaub ntawv tshiab tshaj plaws qhia tau hais tias cov khoom cog qoob loo ntawm ferrosilicon yog ze li ntawm 60, 000 tons, nce tsawg dua 3,000 tons piv rau ua ntej ua kev ua koob tsheej, thiab cov khoom cog qoob loo ntawm manganese silicon yog ze rau 179,000 tons, nce tsuas yog ntau tshaj 10,000 tons piv rau ua ntej lub koob tsheej. Lub lim tiam no cov ntaub ntawv cov khoom lag luam tsis xav tias yuav yog qhov siab tshaj plaws rau thawj peb lub hlis twg, tab sis nws kuj tseem qis dua li qhov peb xav tau, yog li cov chaw tsim khoom siv hluav taws xob tsis txaus siab xa khoom ntawm qhov poob tseem ceeb, uas yuav txwv qhov kev txwv rau cov nqi ntxiv rau lub Ob Hlis. .
Lub paradox ntawm kev tsim khoom siab yog tsim, tab sis yuav tsum tau sib tw los ntawm kev xav tau qis qis qis qis. Kev tsim tawm txhua lub limtiam ntawm ferrosilicon yog 119,400 tons, nce li ntawm 4000 tons piv nrog ua ntej kev ua koob tsheej. Cov txiaj ntsig ntawm ferrosilicon yog qhov zoo, thiab tseem muaj ze li ntawm 10, 000 tons ntawm qhov chaw txhim kho ntau lawm yav tom ntej. Lub limtiam tso tawm ntawm silicon manganese yog 205, 000 tons, uas nce ntau dua 3,000 tons piv nrog ua ntej lub koob tsheej. Kuj tseem muaj chaw rau kev nce me me rau yav tom ntej. Txawm hais tias qhov kev tso tawm tseem ceeb tuaj yeem ua rau tus nqi qis dua yog nyob ntawm lub peev xwm los lees paub ntawm qhov kev thov sab. Tam sim no, cov khoom lag luam nce siab yog qhov nruab nrab thiab qhov tsis sib xws ntawm kev tsim khoom siab tseem yuav tsum tau khaws cia.
3) Steel mills rov pib qhov chaw tsim khoom loj, qhov kev thov kawg ntawm qhov chaw tsis muaj zog yog txwv
Thawj lub lim tiam tom qab lub caij nplooj ntoos hlav Festival, kev yuav khoom ntawm steel mills yog dav dav, feem ntau yog siv cov khoom muag. Tam sim no, cov hnub muaj nyob ntawm ferrosilicon steel zeb cov lus nug yog 21.35 hnub, nce ntawm 1.93 hnub piv nrog ua ntej lub koob tsheej; Cov hnub muaj ntawm Si manganese steel cog cov khoom muag yog 22.7 hnub, nce 1.91 hnub piv nrog ua ntej lub koob tsheej. Cov khoom muag ntawm cov hlau zeb kawg tsis muaj tsawg, thiab xav tias yuav nyob twj ywm hauv cov khoom cog tom qab kev muag khoom kom txog thaum kev tsim khoom tau nce ntau. Lub Ob Hlis yuav nyuaj rau pom tus cwj pwm sib tw muaj zog heev.
Yav tom ntej steel zeb ntau lawm yuav ua rau ib qho kev nce rau hauv kev thov. Qhov kev siv ntawm cov hlau zeb ntau lawm yog tsawg, thiab qhov nruab nrab txhua hnub tso tawm ntawm cov hlau molten yog 2.27 lab tons, uas yog kwv yees li 130,000 tons deb ntawm cov zis siab, uas txhais tau hais tias cov hlau. zeb muaj qhov chaw loj los rov pib tsim khoom. Tom qab lub caij nplooj ntoos hlav Festival, cov hlau zeb pib nce ntau lawm raws caij nyoog. Txawm hais tias cov txiaj ntsig tau qis tam sim no, cov nyiaj tau los ntawm ib tuj ntawm cov hlau yog nyob ib ncig ntawm 0 tus nqi, thiab cov nyiaj tau los yog me ntsis ntau dua 30%, peb tau pom tias lub tshuab hluav taws xob tawg uas tau nres ntau lawm ua ntej tau npaj rov pib tsim khoom. Yog li ntawd, qhov kev ntsuam xyuas tag nrho ntawm kev xav tau yog qhov nruab nrab.
4) Cov lus xaus thiab cov lus qhia ua haujlwm
Nyob rau hauv thawj lub lim tiam tom qab lub caij nplooj ntoos hlav Festival, qhov chaw tus nqi tau ruaj khov, cov nqi yav tom ntej tau poob qis, qhov kev cia siab zoo ua ntej lub koob tsheej tau hloov kho, lub hauv paus tau nthuav dav, thiab qhov teeb meem ntawm kev ntsuas siab feem ntau raug kho. Yav tom ntej tus nqi poob yuav tsum tau nyiaj compression kom ua tiav, thiab cov txiaj ntsig ntawm ferrosilicon yog nplua nuj, thiab cov txiaj ntsig ntawm manganese silicon yog qhov nruab nrab, yog li muaj qee chav rau cov nyiaj compression, thiab ferrosilicon silicon loj dua li ntawm manganese silicon. Upstream Hoobkas cov khoom lag luam tsawg dua li qhov xav tau ua ntej hnub so, qhov dav dav ntawm kev txiav nqi loj. Steel zeb cov khoom lag luam tsis yog tsawg, tab sis tseem nyob rau hauv qhov rov pib dua ntawm cov channel ntau lawm, qhov kev thov tag nrho yog nruab nrab, luv luv - lub sij hawm ntau qhov chaw compression yog txwv. Qhov teeb meem ntawm cov zis siab los ntawm cov nroj tsuag sab saud yuav tsum tshwm sim tom qab qhov kev thov poob qis, uas yuav tsum tau txiav txim rau lub Peb Hlis. Ntawm tag nrho, peb xav tias tom ntej no 1-2 lub lis piam ntawm hlau alloy disk tseem muaj chaw poob, tab sis qhov kev txawj ntse thiab amplitude tsis tuaj yeem piv nrog thawj lub lim tiam tom qab lub caij nplooj ntoos hlav Festival. Nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm kev ua haujlwm, nws tau hais tias thaum ntxov ntawm kev muag txoj cai tawm hauv kev lag luam ntawm tus nqi qis, ferrosilicon them nyiaj rau kev txhawb nqa ntawm 7700-7800 yuan / ton, thiab manganese silicon them nyiaj rau kev txhawb nqa. ntawm 7100-7200 yuan/ton.
